With so much to think about these days, I havn’t spent much time poring over foreign exchange reserve statistics. Apparently, this is to my detriment, as there have been a number of important developments on this front, some of which carry far-reaching forex implications. I’m guessing a lot of you are probably in the same... »
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Canadian Dollar Headed for Parity
Only a year ago, who could have conceived of such a possibility? At the time, the Canadian Dollar (aka Loonie) was in the doldrums, as a result of the... »
Making Sense of the Yen: Forex Intervention, Debt and Deflation
Last week, Hirohisa Fujii resigned as finance minister of Japan. Since Fujii was an outspoken commentator on the Japanese Yen, the move sent a jolt through forex markets. Those... »
Chinese RMB Set to Appreciate in 2010
The Chinese Yuan (RMB) spent all of 2009 pegged to the Dollar at 6.83. Since the Dollar depreciated against almost every other currency during that time period, the Yuan... »
The Dollar in 2010
I thought it would be fitting to follow up my last post (Forex in 2009: A Year in Review), with one that looked forward. And what better way to... »
Forex in 2009: A Year in Review
In some ways, 2009 was a wild year in forex markets. Compared to 2008, however, it was relatively tame. And that is all I have to say about forex... »
Korean Won Headed Up, Despite Unwinding of Carry Trade
The Korean Won is up 32% since March, and 8.2% on the year. At the same time, it is 20% below is 2007 year-end level, as well as 13%... »
Pause in Rate Hikes Threatens AUD
In October, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) became the first industrialized Central Bank to raise interest rates. It followed this up with two additional hikes in November and... »
Interview with Edward Hugh (Part 2): The Dollar’s Demise is Vastly Overstated
Today, we bring you an interview (the second part, and complete transcript) with Edward Hugh, a macro economist, who specializes in growth and productivity theory, demographic processes and their... »
“Logic” Returns to the Forex Markets, Benefiting the Dollar
Many analysts are pointing to Friday, December 4, as the day that logic returned to the forex markets. On that day, the scheduled release of US non-farm payrolls indicated... »
Bank of Canada Remains on Hold
As widely expected, the Bank of Canada held the target for the overnight rate at 0.25%, and reiterated its commitment to keep rates at their effective lower bound through... »
CAD Weakens As BoC Lowers Growth Forecasts
The USD has made gains against its major counterparts today as risk appetite was burdened by poor economic news and a dovish BoC statement. The headline event of the... »
US Market Update
The Dollar received a bid in particular against its European counterparts during the overseas session. The Euro was hindered by weaker than expected sentiment readings for the month of... »
Afternoon Forex Overview
The U.S. dollar advanced against most major counterparts on Tuesday, with gains especially strong against the euro amid ongoing Greek debt worries and further signs that Germany’s economic recovery... »
British Inflation Data Sends Fixed Income Markets Down
Eurozone bond buyers suddenly lost their appetite for fixed income Tuesday, balking further faced with the prospect of ?25 billion in supply this week. The driver today was the... »
Bank of Canada Tweaks Forecasts, Maintains Policy Stance
The Bank of Canada left the overnight rate at 0.25% and maintained its assessment of the risks to the outlook as being balanced based on macro considerations but “tilted... »
Euro’s Dead Cross (or Achilles Heel)
EURUSD’s 50-day moving average has now fallen below its 100-day MA, which is referred to as a dead cross. As shorter duration moving averages (faster gauges of trend) move... »
BOC Leaves Rates Unchanged and Signals Recovery Is Undergoing
The Bank of Canada announced its decision on Benchmark interest rates today, where the BOC decided to leaves it rates unchanged at 0.25% inline with expectations, since the Canadian... »
Euro Collapses on Technical and Fundamental Factors
US equity futures are mixed, following a weaker session in Europe based on a series of economic data and heightened volatility, trend of dampened risk sentiment is being reflected... »
Forex Fundamental Outlook
U.S. markets reopened after yesterday’s market holiday and liquidity returned to normal levels. Data released in the eurozone today saw the German January ZEW economic sentiment index slip to... »
EUR/GBP Revisiting the Big Picture
Daily: The EUR/GBP has completed invalidated the Bullish wave count we had been assessing the market with. Instead the market looks to be in a full Gartley retracement, which... »
Chart Of The Day: USD/JPY
Price action on USD/JPY, a daily chart of which is shown, has displayed marked bearishness for more than a week, since the top of a parallel downtrend channel was... »
EUR/USD Test of Support
The EUR/USD is about to test the 1.4200 support. The daily chart’s price action shows very aggressive bearish candles after reaching 1.4600. In fact, with the stochastic showing... »
EURJPY: Pressured Builds On The 129.19 Level
While the cross trades and holds below the 131.24 level, its Jan 06’10 low, we continue to see risk to the downside towards the 129.19 level, its Dec 22’09... »